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Publication Date

1986

Abstract

This study compared the accuracies of the t-distribution method suggested by Suen (1983, 1984) with the natural conjugate distribution (NCD) method in combining subjective distributions to form a single joint prior that, when combined with empirical data, generated the most accurate estimate of the actual mean values. It was found that the t-distribution process yielded more accurate posterior information than the NCD process.

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